yes they have

it is amazing. I have seen both parties win races that were Rated Tossups by bigger margins than republicans won the GA 14 special! For example TX 28 in 2022 (for dems) and MT GOV in 2020 (for the GOP)

The democrats are over preforming my expectations by quite a lot and these predictions set quite high expectations for dems.

@chicyph80.bsky.social @djsoke.bsky.social

Projection: Chris Taylor(D) wins the Wisconsin Court Race!

@uncrewed.bsky.social @chicyph80.bsky.social @djsoke.bsky.social @samshirazi.bsky.social

It looks like Shawn Harris is going to over preform Kamala Harris by more than the Margin that Aftyn Behn would of theoretically needed.

@djsoke.bsky.social

The Ga 14 race looks quite good for Dems. My expectation was a relatively high one for democrats(because of the political environment). The margin will go up for Fuller once more Ed comes in but probably not by a lot because Cobb still has a lot of vote to be counted.

Josh Shaprio won as a write in candidate in the republican primary in 2008.

I think an Andy Beshear/Teresa Leger Fernandez ticket will be good for 2028

@samshirazi.bsky.social @djsoke.bsky.social @uncrewed.bsky.social

Here are my predictions for tomorrows elections
GA CD 14: Rating: Very Likely R: Margin R+15.2%
WI SCOTUS Rating Very Likely D: Margin D+13.4%

This is an even more amazing transition

Yes my mom is Margaret.

Was it all by one person?

One of those is my mom!

How have Moore and Shapiro been disappointments?

The cap on the House violates the principle of one person, one vote.

With the uneven distribution of seats, some votes for representatives carry more weight. For instance, the average Delawarean has almost half the power as the average Montanan.

As governor, you often have to make hard choices, and I’m thankful Governor Ivey commuted the death sentence of Sonny Burton to life in prison without parole. Mr Burton is now 75 years old, frail and has spent more than three decades in prison. He did not pull the trigger that killed the victim,…

@trumpstaxes.com @uncrewed.bsky.social @voterrooter.bsky.social

this is also an example of "don't vote republican just because you are mad at what some dems do". the republican governor is defintly also responsible for not Sparing Leonard's life. we need certain types of democrats sometimes not just any democrat.

Leonard Taylor’s Lawyer Speaks Out On His Execution, ‘It Was A Scientific Impossibility’ He Committed The Crime The Missouri man was executed in Missouri on Feb. 7 for a quadruple murder, despite claims of innocence.

I just heard about a death penalty case that Wesley Bell mishandled in 2023. because of that i am endorsing @coribush.bsky.social. I am not even a person who always endorses the person considered more liberal(I endorsed Talarico over Crocket.) It was a disgrace what bell did

I think that was one of the best actions Ford did as president.

OK that confused my I though "IPEV" was just a certain Type of "EV. in other words a thought the votes in the "EV" column were all the votes cast so far.

Why by that much? It seems like the electorate is slightly redder than in 2025 when Crawford won by 10%

Even Kagan And Sotomayor being on the conservative side kind of reminds my of when not Even Thomas publicly sided with Kim Davis recently. weird things happen

@samshirazi.bsky.social

Abortion was arguably one of the issues Bill Clinton was the most liberal on after the 1994 midterms during the rest of his presidency. also I think it is pretty much impossible to find Hillary Clinton on the conservative side of the abortion debate.

One last thing about this point. It has been very hard for republicans to compare themselves with Obama and the Clintons on the abortion issue. Tucker Carlson for example just said that Bill Clinton's views on abortion were better than Harris' but even he admitted he did not very agree with them.