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Posts tagged #Cyclones

ABPW10 PGTW 081800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/081800Z-090600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZAPR2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZAPR2026//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081751ZAPR2026//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
5.7N 153.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 152.4E, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING THE BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION 
CENTER (LLCC) WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING ALONG THE SOUTHERN 
SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). GLOBAL 
MODELS AGREE ON 90W SLOWLY TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARD AS IT 
CONSOLIDATES OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO B

ABPW10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/081800Z-090600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZAPR2026// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZAPR2026// REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081751ZAPR2026// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.7N 153.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 152.4E, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING THE BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING ALONG THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON 90W SLOWLY TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARD AS IT CONSOLIDATES OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO B

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 081800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/081800Z-090600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Video

CAUSED AND/OR AMPLIFIED/INTENSIFIED BY HUMANS BURNING FOSSIL FUELS

#Oil
#Coal
#Gas

www.facebook.com/share/v/1Br2...

#Storms
#OceanHeat
#RapidIntensification
#Cyclones
#TropicalCyclones
#StormSurge
#CoastalFlooding
#DestructiveWinds
#ExtremeWeather
#FossilFuelPollution
#AnthropogenicGlobalWarming

2 0 0 0
Video

Since this tweet, Malia has further intensified to (Australian) Cat 5.

x.com/backpirchcre...

#Storms
#OceanHeat
#RapidIntensification
#Cyclones
#TropicalCyclones
#Precipitation
#Floods
#DestructiveWinds
#ENSO
#ElNiño
#ExtremeWeather
#Oil
#Coal
#Gas
#FossilFuelPollution
#AnthropogenicGlobalWarming

2 0 1 0
ABPW10 PGTW 080200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080200Z-080600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071952ZAPR2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071951ZAPR2026//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.2N 
155.4E, APPROXIMATELY 234 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC 
TURNING WITH DENSE FLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. 
THE POSITION IS BASED ON THE CENTROID OF THE OVERALL CIRCULATION AND 
PROMINENT MID-LEVEL FLOW. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 90W IS 
CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT BEING CENTERED IN 
A LOWER POCKET (10-15 KT) OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND A POINT SOURCE JUST EAST ASSISTING WITH 
MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A 
WESTWARD TRACK WITH INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR

ABPW10 PGTW 080200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080200Z-080600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071952ZAPR2026// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071951ZAPR2026// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.2N 155.4E, APPROXIMATELY 234 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING WITH DENSE FLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE POSITION IS BASED ON THE CENTROID OF THE OVERALL CIRCULATION AND PROMINENT MID-LEVEL FLOW. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 90W IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT BEING CENTERED IN A LOWER POCKET (10-15 KT) OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND A POINT SOURCE JUST EAST ASSISTING WITH MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A WESTWARD TRACK WITH INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 080200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080200Z-080600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0

CAUSED AND/OR AMPLIFIED/INTENSIFIED BY HUMANS BURNING FOSSIL FUELS

#Oil
#Coal
#Gas
#FossilFuelPollution

bsky.app/profile/cira...

#Storms
#OceanHeat
#RapidIntensification
#Cyclones
#TropicalCyclones
#ENSO
#ElNiño
#ExtremeWeather
#FossilFuelPollution
#AnthropogenicGlobalWarming

0 3 1 0
ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070152ZAPR2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070151ZAPR2026//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 07APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (VAIANU) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 18.1S 174.8E, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM WEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAD 
TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 07APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 9.9S 156.4E, APPROXIMATELY 667 NM SOUTH OF KAPINGAMARANGI, AND HAD 
TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. 
SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICA

ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070152ZAPR2026// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070151ZAPR2026// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 07APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (VAIANU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1S 174.8E, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM WEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 07APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9S 156.4E, APPROXIMATELY 667 NM SOUTH OF KAPINGAMARANGI, AND HAD TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICA

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Post image

CAUSED AND/OR AMPLIFIED/INTENSIFIED BY HUMANS BURNING FOSSIL FUELS

#Oil
#Coal
#Gas
#FossilFuelPollution

x.com/hurricane_ch...

#Storms
#OceanHeat
#RapidIntensification
#Cyclones
#TropicalCyclones
#ENSO
#ElNiño
#ExtremeWeather
#FossilFuelPollution
#AnthropogenicGlobalWarming

1 3 1 0
ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070152ZAPR2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070151ZAPR2026//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 07APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (VAIANU) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 18.1S 174.8E, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM WEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAD 
TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 07APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 9.9S 156.4E, APPROXIMATELY 667 NM SOUTH OF KAPINGAMARANGI, AND HAD 
TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. 
SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICA

ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070152ZAPR2026// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070151ZAPR2026// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 07APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (VAIANU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1S 174.8E, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM WEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 07APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9S 156.4E, APPROXIMATELY 667 NM SOUTH OF KAPINGAMARANGI, AND HAD TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICA

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0

CAUSED AND/OR AMPLIFIED/INTENSIFIED BY HUMANS BURNING FOSSIL FUELS

#Oil
#Coal
#Gas
#FossilFuelPollution

bsky.app/profile/cira...

#Storms
#OceanHeat
#RapidIntensification
#Cyclones
#TropicalCyclones
#ENSO
#ElNiño
#ExtremeWeather
#FossilFuelPollution
#AnthropogenicGlobalWarming

0 2 1 0
ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060152ZAPR2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060151ZAPR2026//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 06APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (VAIANU) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 15.7S 173.1E, APPROXIMATELY 337 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, 
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 06APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 9.5S 154.7E, APPROXIMATELY 683 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED EASTWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 
KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICA

ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060152ZAPR2026// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060151ZAPR2026// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 06APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (VAIANU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7S 173.1E, APPROXIMATELY 337 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 06APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.5S 154.7E, APPROXIMATELY 683 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED EASTWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICA

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060152ZAPR2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060151ZAPR2026//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 06APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (VAIANU) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 15.7S 173.1E, APPROXIMATELY 337 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, 
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 06APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 9.5S 154.7E, APPROXIMATELY 683 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED EASTWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 
KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICA

ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060152ZAPR2026// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060151ZAPR2026// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 06APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (VAIANU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7S 173.1E, APPROXIMATELY 337 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 06APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.5S 154.7E, APPROXIMATELY 683 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED EASTWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICA

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Preview
Travellers celebrate as major highway reopens after Cyclone Narelle Holiday makers took a gamble heading to WA's north hoping a major highway would reopen in time for Easter. #cyclones #road #trips

Holiday makers took a gamble heading to WA's north hoping a major highway would reopen in time for Easter. #cyclones #road #trips

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 050300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/050300Z-050600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050152ZAPR2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZAPR2026//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 05APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (THIRTYONE) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 171.8E, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, 
FIJI, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) AT 05APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 8.8S 154.2E, APPROXIMATELY 691 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CY

ABPW10 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/050300Z-050600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050152ZAPR2026// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZAPR2026// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 05APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (THIRTYONE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 171.8E, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 05APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (MAILA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.8S 154.2E, APPROXIMATELY 691 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CY

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 050300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/050300Z-050600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 041130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041130Z-050600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZAPR2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041121ZAPR2026//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 04APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (THIRTY) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 9.1S 155.1E, APPROXIMATELY 717 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
12.3S 171.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7S 171.2E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM 
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
REVEALS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH

ABPW10 PGTW 041130 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041130Z-050600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZAPR2026// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041121ZAPR2026// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 04APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (THIRTY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.1S 155.1E, APPROXIMATELY 717 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.3S 171.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7S 171.2E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 041130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041130Z-050600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0

CAUSED AND/OR AMPLIFIED/INTENSIFIED BY HUMANS BURNING FOSSIL FUELS

#Oil
#Coal
#Gas
#FossilFuelPollution

bsky.app/profile/weat...

#Storms
#OceanHeat
#RapidIntensification
#Cyclones
#TropicalCyclones
#Oscillations
#ENSO
#ElNiño
#ExtremeWeather
#FossilFuelPollution
#AnthropogenicGlobalWarming

1 0 1 0
ABPW10 PGTW 041130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041130Z-050600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZAPR2026//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041121ZAPR2026//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 04APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (THIRTY) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 9.1S 155.1E, APPROXIMATELY 717 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
12.3S 171.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7S 171.2E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM 
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
REVEALS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH

ABPW10 PGTW 041130 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041130Z-050600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZAPR2026// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041121ZAPR2026// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 04APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (THIRTY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.1S 155.1E, APPROXIMATELY 717 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.3S 171.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7S 171.2E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 041130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041130Z-050600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0

bsky.app/profile/cira...

#Storms
#OceanHeat
#RapidIntensification
#Cyclones
#TropicalCyclones
#ExTropical
#PostTropical
#ExtraTropical
#SubTropical
#Precipitation
#Floods
#DestructiveWinds
#ExtremeWeather
#Oil
#Coal
#Gas
#FossilFuelPollution
#AnthropogenicGlobalWarming

3 2 1 0
ABPW10 PGTW 040600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZAPR2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 04APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (THIRTY) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 9.1S 155.1E, APPROXIMATELY 717 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
12.4S 170.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7S 171.8E, APPROXIMATELY 347 NM 
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILLA. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
REVEALS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH AN ELONGATED 
BUT SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING CENTER. A RECENT OSCAT-3 PASS REVEALED A 
BROAD CIRCULATION WITH A BAND OF ELEVAT

ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZAPR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 04APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (THIRTY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.1S 155.1E, APPROXIMATELY 717 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4S 170.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7S 171.8E, APPROXIMATELY 347 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILLA. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH AN ELONGATED BUT SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING CENTER. A RECENT OSCAT-3 PASS REVEALED A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH A BAND OF ELEVAT

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 040600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 040300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/040300Z-040600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040152ZAPR2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 04APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (THIRTY) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 9.1S 155.1E, APPROXIMATELY 717 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
9.0S 173.0E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 
PARA. 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.0S 
173.0E, APPROXIMATELY 590 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 030047Z OCEA

ABPW10 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/040300Z-040600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040152ZAPR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 04APR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (THIRTY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.1S 155.1E, APPROXIMATELY 717 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 040300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0S 173.0E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.0S 173.0E, APPROXIMATELY 590 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 030047Z OCEA

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 040300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/040300Z-040600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0

I miss this place! #brooklyn #cyclones

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 032230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/032230Z-040600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/032221ZAPR2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT REISSUED.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1)  THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.2S 155.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6S 155.8E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM 
WEST OF HONIARA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) 
EMBEDDED WITHIN PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH SPIRAL BANDS OF DEEP 
CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE 
AREA INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLOGENESIS 
WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL 
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS, IN ADDITION TO THE EXPERIMENTAL 
GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE, INDICATE QUASI-STATION

ABPW10 PGTW 032230 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/032230Z-040600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/032221ZAPR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT REISSUED.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 155.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6S 155.8E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST OF HONIARA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH SPIRAL BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLOGENESIS WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS, IN ADDITION TO THE EXPERIMENTAL GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE, INDICATE QUASI-STATION

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 032230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/032230Z-040600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 030600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/022221ZAPR2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.2S 155.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S 154.2E, APPROXIMATELY 421 NM 
EAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN PERSISTENT DEEP 
CONVECTION WITH SPIRAL BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE 
CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A MARGINALLY 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLOGENESIS WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 
KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND 
ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE 
MODELS, IN ADDITION TO THE EXPERIMENTAL GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE, 
INDICATE QUASI-

ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/022221ZAPR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 155.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S 154.2E, APPROXIMATELY 421 NM EAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH SPIRAL BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLOGENESIS WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS, IN ADDITION TO THE EXPERIMENTAL GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE, INDICATE QUASI-

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 030600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Video

📊 Grading the Iowa State Cyclones Season – What Grade Do They Deserve?
Solid B-/B+? Started undefeated and playing with the big boys (Arizona, Nebraska, Michigan) but ran into issues later. What letter grade would you give the Cyclones this year?
#IowaState #Cyclones #CollegeBasketball #MarchMadness

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 030600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/022221ZAPR2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 155.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S 154.2E, APPROXIMATELY 421 NM EAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH SPIRAL BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLOGENESIS WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS, IN ADDITION TO THE EXPERIMENTAL GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE, INDICATE QUASI-STATIONARY MOVEMENT WITH

ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/022221ZAPR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 155.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S 154.2E, APPROXIMATELY 421 NM EAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH SPIRAL BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLOGENESIS WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS, IN ADDITION TO THE EXPERIMENTAL GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE, INDICATE QUASI-STATIONARY MOVEMENT WITH

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 030600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 022230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/022230Z-030600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/022221ZAPR2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.2S 157.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 155.0E, APPROXIMATELY 467 NM EAST 
OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION 
CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH SPIRAL 
BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
CYCLOGENESIS WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM 
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. 
GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS, IN ADDITION TO THE 
EXPERIMENTAL GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE, INDICATE

ABPW10 PGTW 022230 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/022230Z-030600ZAPR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/022221ZAPR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 157.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 155.0E, APPROXIMATELY 467 NM EAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH SPIRAL BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLOGENESIS WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS, IN ADDITION TO THE EXPERIMENTAL GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE, INDICATE

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 022230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/022230Z-030600ZAPR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 021800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/021800Z-030600ZAPR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.2S 157.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 155.0E, APPROXIMATELY 468 NM EAST 
OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING AND SPIRAL BANDS OF DEEP 
CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA 
INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLOGENESIS WITH LOW 
TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WINDS SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL 
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS, IN ADDITION TO THE EXPERIMENTAL 
GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE, INDICATE QUASI-STATIONARY MOVEMENT WITH QUICK 
CONSOLIDATION AND DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WI

ABPW10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/021800Z-030600ZAPR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 157.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 155.0E, APPROXIMATELY 468 NM EAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING AND SPIRAL BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CYCLOGENESIS WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WINDS SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS, IN ADDITION TO THE EXPERIMENTAL GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE, INDICATE QUASI-STATIONARY MOVEMENT WITH QUICK CONSOLIDATION AND DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WI

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 021800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/021800Z-030600ZAPR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 020600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZAPR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.2S 158.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 157.8E, APPROXIMATELY 138 NM 
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHERN 
PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS FOR THIS AREA IS MARGINAL 
FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) 
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW SUPPORTING 
DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT 
ON GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION AND A QUASI-STATIONARY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 
24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOP

ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZAPR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S 158.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 157.8E, APPROXIMATELY 138 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS FOR THIS AREA IS MARGINAL FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW SUPPORTING DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION AND A QUASI-STATIONARY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOP

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 020600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZAPR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Preview
Backpackers lose jobs in the wake of ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle In a WA town long reliant on backpackers, there may be few workers left by the time it is ready to reopen for business.   #cyclones #work

In a WA town long reliant on backpackers, there may be few workers left by the time it is ready to reopen for business.
  #cyclones #work

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 012200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/012200Z-020600ZAPR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.2S 
158.1E, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. 
ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED 
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BEGINNING TO BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN FLARING 
CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS FOR THIS AREA APPEARS TO BE MODERATELY 
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM 
(29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK OUTFLOW WITHIN THE 
UPPER LEVELS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT 
ON A STEADY DEVELOPMENT AS 90P CONTINUES TO SLOWLY TRANSIT WESTWARD AND 
DEVELOP WITHIN THIS POCKET OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AS IT 
INTENSIFIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23

ABPW10 PGTW 012200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/012200Z-020600ZAPR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.2S 158.1E, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BEGINNING TO BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN FLARING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS FOR THIS AREA APPEARS TO BE MODERATELY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK OUTFLOW WITHIN THE UPPER LEVELS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON A STEADY DEVELOPMENT AS 90P CONTINUES TO SLOWLY TRANSIT WESTWARD AND DEVELOP WITHIN THIS POCKET OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AS IT INTENSIFIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 012200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/012200Z-020600ZAPR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
ABPW10 PGTW 012200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/012200Z-020600ZAPR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.2S 
158.1E, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. 
ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED 
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BEGINNING TO BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN FLARING 
CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS FOR THIS AREA APPEARS TO BE MODERATELY 
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM 
(29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK OUTFLOW WITHIN THE 
UPPER LEVELS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT 
ON A STEADY DEVELOPMENT AS 90P CONTINUES TO SLOWLY TRANSIT WESTWARD AND 
DEVELOP WITHIN THIS POCKET OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AS IT 
INTENSIFIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23

ABPW10 PGTW 012200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/012200Z-020600ZAPR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.2S 158.1E, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BEGINNING TO BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN FLARING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS FOR THIS AREA APPEARS TO BE MODERATELY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK OUTFLOW WITHIN THE UPPER LEVELS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON A STEADY DEVELOPMENT AS 90P CONTINUES TO SLOWLY TRANSIT WESTWARD AND DEVELOP WITHIN THIS POCKET OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AS IT INTENSIFIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 012200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/012200Z-020600ZAPR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0