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#bayesian
Latest posts tagged with #bayesian on Bluesky
Posts tagged #bayesian
🎙️ New episode of Learning Bayesian Statistics!
EP 155 with @alex-andorra.bsky.social & Andreas Munk, why Bayesian inference still hasn't broken into everyday use. The barrier isn't the math, it's the mental shift
🔗 lnkd.in/gchb6bqj
#Bayesian #ProbablisticProgramming
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Just hopped off the @posit.co Hangout. 📊
Used Bayesian Inference to "back-calculate" the release of Mambo No. 5 based on name popularity.
Key takeaway: The "Prior" is the ultimate noise filter. Don't just trust the raw signal context (like age-weighting) is what makes the model 🎯
#Bayesian
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#MissKittyPolitics #AI #Research
#VIDEO
76 seconds until #nuclear midnight. A short explanation. <8 min. #PRA. #Bayesian. #Game #Theory.
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#MissKittyPolitics #AI #Research
76 seconds until midnight. The short explanation. 17+ min. #PRA. #Bayesian. #Game #Theory.
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#MissKittyPolitics #AI #Research
76 seconds until midnight. The long explanation. #PRA. #Bayesian. #Game #Theory.
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SFM is joint work with Maximilian Göbel and tackles a problem every football club faces: how do you measure a player's true skill when raw stats are tangled up with team effects?
Inspired by financial asset pricing, we built a #Bayesian model that separates a player's intrinsic scoring ability...
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Как я взломал «исходный код» Вселенной на MacBook Pro и закрыл 90% экзопланет для жизни Пока теоретики десятилети...
#Экзопланеты #JWST #Астробиология #Bayesian #Inference #MCMC #белые #карлики #Фундаментальные #константы #Open
Origin | Interest | Match
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💥 Bayesian spatiotemporal modelling of political violence and conflict events using discrete-time Hawkes processes
Raiha Browning et al #ConflictData #Bayesian
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Tired of AI confidently making bad analytical decisions?
Meet Decision Lab, our new open-source harness for #agentic data science. It explores multiple analysis paths, uses #Bayesian diagnostics as feedback, and stops when assumptions fail.
🧩Github: dub.link/wKpAWNi
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"The things that get reported tend to be overestimates." -- Andrew Gelman, PhD, of @columbiauniversity.bsky.social, discussing standard clinical trial statistics and #Bayesian methods.
www.medpagetoday.com/washington-w...
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Tommaso Toffoli
Maxwell's daemon, the Turing machine, and Jaynes' robot
2004
#bookreview #logic #science #probability #probabilitytheory #bayesian #inference #reasoning #maxent #philosophy #updateyourpriors
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This study shows an advanced #Bayesian model that accounts for site-specific trends & applies splines to capture non-linear trends, offering a more precise & flexible framework for #LongitudinalAnalysis that strengthens inference & illuminates #TemporalDynamics.
#OpenAccess: tinyurl.com/2b7nfqna
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#statstab #514 A puzzle of proportions
Thoughts: "Two popular Bayesian tests can yield dramatically different conclusions"
Model specification is important.
#bayesian #bayes #bayesfactor #nulleffects #proportions
doi.org/10.1002/sim....
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New Episode Alert!
🎙️ Scaling #BayesianCausalInference with Thomas Pinder, Netflix & creator of GPJax
Essential listening for anyone working at the frontier of Bayes, Experimentation & Causal Inference 📈
🔗 learnbayesstats.com/episode/154-...
#Bayesian #JAX #MachineLearning #CausalInference #GPJax
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ABC - Always Be Coding
#Bayesian #Anthropology
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"Five skills. Each one is counter-cyclical (becomes more valuable as hype recedes), resistant to LLM automation (requires human judgment that pattern-matching can’t replicate), and directly tied to the business outcomes executives actually pay for."
by Kaushik Rajan […]
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The Universe Doesn’t Care About Our Spreadsheets: Why the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence Is Stuck in a Statistical Fog A new book applies Bayesian statistics to the search for extraterr...
#SpaceRevolution #Astrobiology #Bayesian #statistics #Drake […]
[Original post on webpronews.com]
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Is it "Data Science" if the most critical step—the generative model—relies on intuition and domain feel? Or are we just high-tech artists painting with numbers? 🖌️
What do you think? Is the "Art" of modeling being overlooked?
#DataScience #Bioinformatics #Bayesian #Modeling #CompBio [5/5]
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#statstab #509 Effective sample size
Thoughts: ESS often reported for bayesian models, but is it really understood?
#brms #rstats #r #bayesian #ess #diagnostics
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/27/e...
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Enterprise hits and misses - #Bayesian uncertainty makes for better #AI, tokenomics gets demystified, and #Meta's AI Avocado isn't ripe yet diginomica.com/enterprise-h... by @jon.diginomica.com. #EnSW
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On April 14, Distinguished Speaker James Berger explores the history of objective #Bayesian and classical statistics, the p-value controversy, and multiplicity in “Objective Bayesian Analysis: History and Interfaces with Classical Statistics.”
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Uncertainty-Aware Surrogate-based Amortized Bayesian Inference for Computationally Expensive Models
Stefania Scheurer, Philipp Reiser, Tim Brünnette et al.
Action editor: Manuel Haussmann
https://openreview.net/forum?id=aVSoQXbfy1
#surrogate #bayesian #mcmc
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From uncertainty to insight. EcoTwin shows how Bayesian networks can support both probabilistic and causal analysis in marine systems.
ecotwinproject.eu/post/bayesia...
#EcoTwin #Bayesian #OceanPolicy #EBFM #HorizonEurope
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#MissKitty #BayesianBitch her newest #hashtag! 😹😹😹
She is getting her #Bayesian on‼️
It's actually how I think. I live in ambiguity. Is there anything else? 😹😹😹👊🏻🔦🎤💃🏻
Bayesian methodology is a statistical approach that uses Bayes' theorem to update the probability of a hypothesis as
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New research proposes debugging #Bayesian inference while it runs, not after. A methodology for live MCMC diagnostics: R-hat, ESS, and trace plots updating in real time instead of post-hoc.
Join our webinar on Mar 25, 11 AM ET.
👉 dub.link/Bwr7kT3
#PyMC #MCMC #DataScience
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Bayesian statistics is not named after Joan Baez.
#mathematics #statistics #bayesian #joanbaez
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This study introduces an enhanced #Bayesian FoodNet model effectively reducing biases, accounting for site-specific trends, & capturing uncertainty & by publishing a pipeline for implementation, FoodNet data become accessible for #PublicHealth.
#OpenAccess: zoonoses-journal.org/index.php/20...
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