Latest posts tagged with #Probability on Bluesky
#statstab #520 Reverse‐Bayes methods for evidence assessment and research synthesis
Thoughts: I was reminded of this paper on assessing the evidentiary value of a finding. What do ppl think?
#bayes #inference #evidence #probability #priors #sensitivity
doi.org/10.1002/jrsm...
You have roughly a 50 percent chance of sharing your birthday with at least one close friend #Probability #FunFact
Mind blown yet?
#WeirdFacts #BlackHole
I'm looking forward to it. Great comments from diverse perspectives by Villegas, Elliott-Graves, and Skillings. Conference info: apaonline.org/2026pacific#APAPacific26. There's a pinned thread on the book at my profile. #philsci #hpbio #philsky #evolution #ecology #symbiosis #causation #probability
General Revelation
#Probability #Time #Space #Synchronicity #GeneralRevelation #SpecialRevelation #Sanctification #FineTunedUniverse
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General...
General Revelation
#Probability #Time #Space #Synchronicity #GeneralRevelation #SpecialRevelation #Sanctification #FineTunedUniverse
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General...
Ice Age dice show early Native Americans may have understood probability #Technology #Other #IceAge #NativeAmericans #Probability
arstechnica.com/science/2026/04/ice-age-...
Ice Age dice show early Native Americans may have understood probability https://arstechni.ca #anthropology #Archaeology #Ethnography #probability #gamingdice #Science
There is a non-zero #probability that we are a collective of Boltzmann brains...
...and if the universe is truly infinite...
That probability is 1...
Hello my fellow Boltzmann brains!
General Revelation
#Probability #Time #Space #Synchronicity #GeneralRevelation #SpecialRevelation #Sanctification #FineTunedUniverse
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General...
#statisticshelp #binomialdistribution #statisticalcalculatoronline #datascience #dataanalysis #probability #distribution
After 1 week of games how much should you trust your team's results?
If we knew nothing about these teams before the season started, then given their run differential, est. win probability, and actual win %, we can model team strength
#MLB #Probability
#quotes #books #booksky #excerpts #citations #logicofmiracles #mero #kramer #moldován #risk #taleb #environment #probability
Ian Stewart
The Magical Maze: Seeing the World through Mathematical Eyes
1997
#books #mathematics #popularization #popmath #metaphor #philosophy #foundations #proof #rigour #mathematicalmaturity #probability #computation #symmetry
Posted a blog entry on my current work, which is looking at how similar the stable distributions are to each other. The upshot is that translating a stable distribution along the axis has the minimal effect for α=1 (e.g.,the Cauchy distribution), and the maximal effect for very small α.
#math […]
You have roughly a 50 percent chance of sharing your birthday with at least one close friend #Probability #FunFact
Have you heard about this before?
#NASA #Exoplanets #HistoryFacts #JWST
I've updated my dice problem collection with a new problem (#29 of the now 83 problems).
The question is: how many times, on average, do we need to roll a die, multiplying the results, until we reach a perfect square? So we might roll a 1 or 4 and be immediately square. Or we might roll […]
Tommaso Toffoli
Maxwell's daemon, the Turing machine, and Jaynes' robot
2004
#bookreview #logic #science #probability #probabilitytheory #bayesian #inference #reasoning #maxent #philosophy #updateyourpriors
General Revelation
#Probability #Time #Space #Synchronicity #GeneralRevelation #SpecialRevelation #Sanctification #FineTunedUniverse
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General...
@theguardian.com
General Revelation
#Probability #Time #Space #Synchronicity #GeneralRevelation #SpecialRevelation #Sanctification #FineTunedUniverse
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General...
@theguardian.com
Catastrophe with Tony Robinson
(2008 Documentary Series)
Episode 1 The Earth/Moon System
#Earth #Space #Probability #Predestination #CelestialPool #EarthMoonSynchronicity #God’sGreatestTrickShot
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catastr...
@theguardian.com
Recommended Viewing;
Catastrophe with Tony Robinson
(2008 Documentary Series)
#Earth #Time #Space
#Probability #Convergence #Predestination #Evolution
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catastr...
@theguardian.com
Recommended Viewing;
Catastrophe with Tony Robinson
(2008 Documentary Series)
#Earth #Time #Space
#Probability #Predestination
#Probability #Convergence
youtube.com/playlist?lis...
You have roughly a 50 percent chance of sharing your birthday with at least one close friend #Probability #FunFact
#Astronomy #Universe #WeirdFacts #NatureFacts #ScienceFacts
@latimes.com @nytimes.com
General Revelation
#Probability #Time #Space #Synchronicity #GeneralRevelation #SpecialRevelation #Sanctification #FineTunedUniverse
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General...
This 👇🏽 doesn’t actually try to explain the Central Limit Theorem – bummer:
“The Math That Explains Why Bell Curves Are Everywhere”, Quanta (www.quantamagazine.org/the-math-tha...).
Via HN: news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4740...
#Mathematics #Probability #Statistics #Math #BellCurves
Have you ever wondered just how quickly the chances of success add up if you can make a check repeatedly without consequence? This post looks at #d20 #checks and how the #probability ramps up, and uses this to make suggestions for applying them at your #DnD or #TTRPG table.
General Revelation
#Probability #Time #Space #Synchronicity #GeneralRevelation #SpecialRevelation #Sanctification #FineTunedUniverse
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General...
A probability tree example using circles and shapes where the final column is stick figures, deep see fish, smiley face with hat, baseball.
I swear ma, I'm learning. This is real education...
#probability #programming
GCSE Maths: Relative Frequency Problems 🟢
Help students estimate probability using experimental data and expected frequency.
Try it here 👇
mr-mathematics.com/resource-of-...
#GCSEMaths #MathsTeacher #Probability #MathsResources
Today we share our paranormal distribution T-shirt: www.redbubble.com/i/camiseta/D...
#graph #normaldistribution #normal #paranormal #statistics #gauss #probability #gaussian #freak #geek #nerd #math #maths #mathematics #Tshirt #ghost
